Lebanon is on high alert ahead of Hezbollah leader Syed Hassan Nasrallah's anticipated Friday address concerning the conflict between Israel and Gaza. Local residents and experts fear that Nasrallah's speech could further escalate regional tensions if he announces plans to intensify attacks against Israel.
Recent weeks have seen an escalation in hostilities between Hezbollah and Israel along their volatile border. Hezbollah claims to have lost 47 fighters, while Israel reports six of its soldiers killed and several civilian casualties.
There is growing concern that Nasrallah might be preparing the residents of southern Lebanon for a more protracted conflict, despite worries about the devastating impact of a potential war, given the region's historical vulnerability to Israeli aggression, including a 15-year occupation by Israel from 1985 to 2000.
Even among Nasrallah's supporters, there are individuals who are apprehensive about the prospect of war. Some believe that the current situation is not conducive to launching a conflict. Violence erupted following a surprise attack by Hamas on Israeli military outposts and civilians on October 7, resulting in a significant number of casualties. Israel's response has included relentless airstrikes on Gaza and ground invasions, leading to numerous Palestinian casualties.
Calls for a ceasefire have been mounting, but Israel has insisted on continuing its offensive until Hamas is eradicated, seeing it as part of an "axis of resistance" along with Hezbollah and other regional armed groups.
Analysts suggest that Nasrallah may use his speech to caution Israel about its objectives. Hezbollah views the conflict as existential, and its outcome could have a profound impact on the group's standing in the region.
Hezbollah has faced challenges in regaining support from the wider Sunni Arab world due to its involvement in Syria. However, the crisis in Gaza may provide an opportunity for Nasrallah to reshape his image.
Lebanese Sunni fighters have also cooperated with Hezbollah, and an escalation in the battle with Israel might garner more support from Sunni Muslims.
While many Lebanese residents are anxious, Palestinian refugees in Lebanon hope for intensified attacks against Israel, which Nasrallah could potentially authorize during his speech.
It remains to be seen whether Hezbollah and its allies will step up attacks on Israel, but the region is closely watching for the outcome of Nasrallah's upcoming speech, set to address the escalating tensions.
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